La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b4ddb6d185793bfbb08fdee3abbe188da2b09b5580e07260b5c84f92dc906db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…80f8backed Yes | 2c | 510.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 45c | 439.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 51c | 383.02$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.55 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 65c | 137.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 135.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 131.56$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 34c | 124.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 35c | 112.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 111.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 108.36$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 73c | 98.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 55c | 88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 27c | 73.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 69.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 72c | 66.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 47.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 42c | 43.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 27c | 42.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 36.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 71c | 32.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 71c | 29.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 58c | 24.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdffc…32e1backed No | 79c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7599…4293backed No | 75c | 18.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 72c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña end in a draw?this page
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-08?No won
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.