CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e6811b632debd5596dee85fb5738e8314e9eb67488af1103c6d9bbff3608377
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- THUNDER dOWNUNDERof THUNDER dOWNUNDER, Ground Zero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Ground Zero | 25c | 6,495$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.94 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ground Zero | 1c | 5,797$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Ground Zero | 30c | 3,043$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.51 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1f26backed Ground Zero | 24c | 2,259$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 74c | 2,049$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.88 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ground Zero | 27c | 1,981$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.38 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 63c | 1,554$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.49 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 75c | 1,482$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.59 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1998…469cbacked Ground Zero | 1c | 1,410$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 75c | 1,175$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.39 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ground Zero | 22c | 1,139$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.81 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 76c | 987.96$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.96 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Ground Zero | 43c | 939.78$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.1 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 63c | 831.94$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.83 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…61babacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 75c | 694.74$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 69c | 621.72$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.83 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 70c | 425.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.68 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…9153backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 74c | 373.08$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 72c | 318$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ground Zero | 29c | 281.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 73c | 279.4$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…40c6backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 74c | 273.02$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0769…c7ecbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 74c | 260.76$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed Ground Zero | 14c | 259.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed Ground Zero | 20c | 256$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 73c | 247$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Ground Zero | 43c | 235.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Ground Zero | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 79c | 199.44$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Ground Zero | 38c | 181.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 62c | 175.34$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ground Zero | 14c | 168.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 73c | 161.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 75c | 134$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 67c | 116.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Ground Zero | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Ground Zero | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 76c | 99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Ground Zero | 48c | 88.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Ground Zero | 17c | 85.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 57c | 82.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Ground Zero | 33c | 82.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Ground Zero | 33c | 81.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Ground Zero | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…9b3bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 73c | 74.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…d8fdbacked Ground Zero | 44c | 67.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 73c | 65.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Ground Zero | 34c | 62.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…c199backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 73c | 60.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 76c | 56.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 72c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Ground Zero | 40c | 52.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Ground Zero | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…d68fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 75c | 41.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ground Zero | 26c | 37.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 72c | 34.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 71c | 33.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ground Zero | 44c | 32.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 59c | 21.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…e599backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero - Map 1 WinnerGround Zero won
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero - Map 2 WinnerTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.