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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Grambling State Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grambling State Tigersof Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils, Grambling State Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,975 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84dc…008ebacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils20c9,758$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.98100%0 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils11c4,460$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.651,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Grambling State Tigers78c4,451$3,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.1249345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils22c2,544$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.714,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils10c2,301$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.082,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils11c2,013$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.0339454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils22c1,983$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.363435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils10c1,343$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.712,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9955532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils8c1,075$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab5…ff12backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils10c987.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.688130.9%25 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils11c905.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1681528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils11c796.95$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4522047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils10c645.6$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8625829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked Grambling State Tigers74c557.43$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.939051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils11c513.54$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.016336.5%23 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils28c479.57$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1514027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Grambling State Tigers76c464.68$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.482,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils11c399.77$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.971,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils11c398.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6824432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils12c359.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0982846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils14c355.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.791442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils10c302.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2412141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils10c300.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0429337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils9c218.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.045534.5%19 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils20c199.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9715240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grambling State Tigers76c199.38$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.363,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils12c199.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.912,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f4…a99fbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils10c180.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils10c170.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4430945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.69845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils11c115.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7261244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c19…249cbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils15c100.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.93540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils17c81.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8177142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils19c74.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.981,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.