CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b049d2c280b7953e14f42030522ed5c29a872155fe2a92744ba555242583224
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oxuji Esportsof FORZE Reload, Oxuji Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Oxuji Esports | 58c | 3,481$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.84 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +59.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed FORZE Reload | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.99 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Oxuji Esports | 59c | 1,091$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.16 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Oxuji Esports | 60c | 1,017$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.26 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed FORZE Reload | 42c | 962$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.44 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed FORZE Reload | 42c | 892.86$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FORZE Reload | 40c | 716.2$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.09 | 5,954 | 37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L | +77.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Oxuji Esports | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…61dcbacked FORZE Reload | 41c | 510.43$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed FORZE Reload | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Oxuji Esports | 59c | 379.4$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed FORZE Reload | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed FORZE Reload | 40c | 299.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 253 | 50.6%128 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked FORZE Reload | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FORZE Reload | 22c | 260.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 6,540 | 42.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L | -81.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FORZE Reload | 20c | 229.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…58efbacked FORZE Reload | 40c | 208.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed FORZE Reload | 42c | 181.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Oxuji Esports | 59c | 149.51$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 200 | 51%102 W · 98 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FORZE Reload | 41c | 132.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 1,756 | 47.3%830 W · 926 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…e300backed FORZE Reload | 17c | 125.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…2230backed FORZE Reload | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FORZE Reload | 15c | 106.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed FORZE Reload | 36c | 106$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Oxuji Esports | 79c | 104.59$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FORZE Reload | 40c | 100.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked FORZE Reload | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked FORZE Reload | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 340 | 39.4%134 W · 206 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Oxuji Esports | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Oxuji Esports | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed FORZE Reload | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FORZE Reload | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Oxuji Esports | 57c | 62.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed FORZE Reload | 43c | 61.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FORZE Reload | 24c | 60.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed FORZE Reload | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde21…594dbacked FORZE Reload | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Oxuji Esports | 57c | 54.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FORZE Reload | 34c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Oxuji Esports | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Oxuji Esports | 79c | 51.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Oxuji Esports | 60c | 51.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked FORZE Reload | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed FORZE Reload | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed Oxuji Esports | 78c | 38.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 41 | 85.4%35 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oxuji Esports | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Oxuji Esports | 58c | 36.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed FORZE Reload | 41c | 32.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 550 | 55.1%303 W · 247 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Oxuji Esports | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…2a21backed Oxuji Esports | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Oxuji Esports | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Oxuji Esports | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.