CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97a693a06c25078b99be9ec5144aa62ed1f5d8a6502cf66f2ddcc84763c60347
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed MOUZ NXT | 6c | 1,705$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ NXT | 2c | 1,626$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance | 69c | 1,564$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.34 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ NXT | 32c | 1,550$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.86 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Alliance | 68c | 1,000$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.28 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alliance | 67c | 890.61$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.36 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 31c | 815.15$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed MOUZ NXT | 30c | 788.86$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.66 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed MOUZ NXT | 18c | 757.45$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance | 76c | 469.72$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 411.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed MOUZ NXT | 27c | 397.05$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Alliance | 68c | 313.24$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed Alliance | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 75c | 287.07$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Alliance | 78c | 269.3$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked MOUZ NXT | 20c | 251$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed MOUZ NXT | 20c | 212$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MOUZ NXT | 12c | 200.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 199.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 172.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 171.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa567…063dbacked Alliance | 64c | 155.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed MOUZ NXT | 30c | 145$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 143$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Alliance | 67c | 133.16$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed MOUZ NXT | 16c | 131$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…9a20backed MOUZ NXT | 19c | 124.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked MOUZ NXT | 13c | 120.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked MOUZ NXT | 31c | 115.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked MOUZ NXT | 33c | 115.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…2872backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 113.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Alliance | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…e34fbacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 76.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Alliance | 68c | 72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed MOUZ NXT | 20c | 66.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 64c | 56.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 47.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Alliance | 66c | 47.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 45.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Alliance | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Alliance | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked MOUZ NXT | 30c | 42.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Alliance | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Alliance | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Alliance | 69c | 36.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Alliance | 68c | 35.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 32.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Alliance | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f2…3de3backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 29.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alliance | 74c | 28.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…5aacbacked Alliance | 66c | 22.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -11.7wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Alliance | 73c | 21.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…2506backed Alliance | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alliance | 66c | 16.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.