Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf2d15c84d7aa8b331ffd080ba072fa528fb0f0f68aa378cf4c6abfa28f0f59f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wake Forest Demon Deaconsof Wake Forest Demon Deacons, California Golden Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,772 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 52c | 34,614$18,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,467.92 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked California Golden Bears | 47c | 12,478$5,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,889.52 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed California Golden Bears | 48c | 11,337$5,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,441.92 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California Golden Bears | 47c | 5,819$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked California Golden Bears | 48c | 2,151$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.39 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked California Golden Bears | 51c | 2,121$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.59 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked California Golden Bears | 52c | 474.64$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California Golden Bears | 51c | 454.87$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.19 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 48c | 266.15$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…4d7abacked California Golden Bears | 68c | 206.14$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed California Golden Bears | 55c | 128.42$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 35c | 120.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…0d55backed California Golden Bears | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 26c | 94.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 48c | 82.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 50c | 58.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed California Golden Bears | 50c | 54.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 51c | 49.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed California Golden Bears | 48c | 34.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 49c | 30.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed California Golden Bears | 71c | 27.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…7e6cbacked California Golden Bears | 52c | 20.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-5.5)this page
- California Golden Bears vs. Wake Forest Demon DeaconsWake Forest Demon Deacons won
- California Golden Bears vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 150.5Over won
- California Golden Bears vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 152.5Over won
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-6.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.