Will Leroy Sané score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5defef0fa2e7ace9401beb9b2265450d9fa9f89eaf175aeba6a22e91d64ec4a

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,710 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb113…8bc6backed No	31c	884.34$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.3	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b14…3051backed Yes	64c	405.29$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.29	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Yes	69c	350.54$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.67	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+5.3wins	+0.20per pick	45cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes	70c	285.71$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.71	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	61c	249.77$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.58	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	56c	235.53$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.54	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f1a…7a49backed Yes	56c	222$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.68	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc7…116fbacked No	46c	179.47$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.56	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b9…e354backed Yes	69c	178$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.96	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No	34c	175.64$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.72	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed No	31c	160.07$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed No	41c	155$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.55	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed No	39c	141$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.58	185	38.9%72 W · 113 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	38c	127.5$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.08	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	45c	125.76$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.62	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	70c	121.9$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1da…0370backed No	33c	121.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	65c	118.96$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.14	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	36c	118$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.48	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f5b…b598backed Yes	69c	110$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.1	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked No	32c	109.38$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	36c	96$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.56	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	60c	90$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.9	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	35c	80$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	63c	77.36$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.79	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed Yes	61c	76.81$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.67	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a69…228fbacked No	44c	72.36$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	63c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.13	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	69c	59.24$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.37	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes	66c	59$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.08	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	54c	56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	60c	55$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.05	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	37c	53.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	48c	48$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.81	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Yes	66c	44.95$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.28	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	55c	41.62$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.94	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked Yes	63c	38.98$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.25	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30b8…fbf3backed No	37c	37.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.87	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	69c	36.23$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.23	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked No	35c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	234	29.1%68 W · 166 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05ec…f767backed Yes	70c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	68c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc436…76c9backed Yes	68c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes	68c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-15.0wins	-0.13per pick	62cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x29ef…dddabacked No	59c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-9.0wins	-0.25per pick	64cpaid	-35%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes	68c	17.97$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.75	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e4b…83e2backed Yes	60c	16.67$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+5.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	68c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Leroy Sané score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event