TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,338
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,338 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x354b…4744backed Yes66c3,140$2,071 inLost-$2,0712650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No55c1,796$989 inWon+$806.412166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No36c1,645$592 inWon+$1,052.794143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes46c753.59$346 inLost-$346.133049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No32c568.8$182 inWon+$386.8411145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes42c276.37$115 inLost-$115.4753842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No30c272.52$82 inWon+$190.0479650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13b4…5bb3backed No37c261.06$96 inWon+$165.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+173.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes64c200$128 inLost-$12856050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes45c188$85 inLost-$84.720558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No63c144$91 inWon+$53.2245445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Yes42c119.05$50 inLost-$5018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yes44c81.72$36 inLost-$35.7940750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Yes69c72.46$50 inLost-$5040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Yes50c69.1$35 inLost-$34.5542740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked No32c60.38$20 inWon+$40.774736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed No32c60.38$20 inWon+$40.772147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes43c42.28$18 inLost-$18.0449247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5daf…7d98backed No40c37.5$15 inWon+$22.54757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Yes60c24.73$15 inLost-$14.8424949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ec…f767backed Yes66c20$13 inLost-$13.27751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…6f66backed Yes64c15.63$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed Yes67c15$10 inLost-$10.059271.7%66 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.