South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2575fd8d0a525511d70a7b9a769f0faec2b862a50a4ea483e6ae6aeb89a3da5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0640…5ea2backed No | 0c | 73,171$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 36c | 16,873$6,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,727.81 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 12,522$9,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,796.87 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 64c | 9,701$6,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,215.72 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 26c | 9,283$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,893.01 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 50c | 8,480$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240.08 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked No | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 63c | 6,659$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.72 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed No | 50c | 5,080$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 50c | 4,681$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.39 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 49c | 3,790$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.9 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 71c | 3,357$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.23 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed No | 55c | 2,935$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.48 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 50c | 2,861$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.74 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.97 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 48c | 2,432$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.01 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.18 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 44c | 2,378$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.38 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 63c | 2,318$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 2,290$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.34 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 50c | 1,831$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.7 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 50c | 1,540$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 49c | 1,484$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.53 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 42c | 1,464$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.71 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Yes | 39c | 1,330$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.69 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 36c | 1,257$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.84 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 1,234$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.03 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 50c | 1,233$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.8 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac3…e2c1backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 52c | 999.97$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 32c | 901.51$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.89 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 50c | 842.49$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.25 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 50c | 785.08$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.77 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 16c | 750$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 7c | 727.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 709.9$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.9 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 56c | 571.65$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.13 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 36c | 556.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.58 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 14c | 471.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 19c | 438.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1676backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 39c | 392$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2a…39bdbacked No | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 30c | 380.58$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.33 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 361.34$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.67 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 53c | 348.57$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.45 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 35c | 341.07$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…be46backed Yes | 63c | 318.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 61c | 293.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.86 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 14c | 277.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 16c | 257$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.64 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 6c | 240.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a46…2482backed Yes | 50c | 237.68$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 80c | 228.01$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.13 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…5d16backed No | 10c | 219.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 200.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 67c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 30c | 192.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 19c | 191.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.34 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes | 20c | 172.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 59c | 167.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 32c | 161.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…f767backed No | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…017dbacked Yes | 51c | 140.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 77c | 138.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 37c | 126.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…892fbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Yes | 18c | 119.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 70c | 119.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 52c | 118.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 44c | 118.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 43c | 118.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 108.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 36c | 106.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff7…7c28backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dc…f68fbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +68%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…02f1backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 77c | 92.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 51c | 90.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 49c | 88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 50c | 85.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 50c | 85.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 46c | 82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 55c | 77.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 52c | 77.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 51c | 70.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 47c | 67.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 79c | 67.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 50c | 66.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 62c | 63.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Querétaro FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.