South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Querétaro FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x207c88d6e01924afbfc8d636e9494ac5873c0f2575ce0e179a75cc7347fe285a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0640…5ea2backed Yes | 0c | 63,148$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 4,321$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.41 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 65c | 2,490$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.83 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 47c | 2,418$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 64c | 1,335$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.31 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed No | 34c | 1,195$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.73 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…0595backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 28c | 767.36$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.35 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 40c | 729.38$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.75 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 11c | 644$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 637$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.36 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 29c | 540.92$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.47 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 47c | 473.12$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 55c | 400$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 287$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 30c | 265.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 258.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 30c | 245.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 65c | 229.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 76c | 223.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 59c | 214.36$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 20c | 199.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 49c | 197.19$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 29c | 193.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 6c | 169.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 29c | 130.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 107.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 39c | 92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 69c | 89.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 75c | 86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 53c | 83.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 37c | 79.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 78.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e40…56c1backed Yes | 24c | 72.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 15c | 70.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 28c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 24c | 65.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 24c | 57.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes | 26c | 45.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 28c | 42.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296d…6020backed Yes | 39c | 36.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7df…7722backed No | 79c | 32.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 72c | 32.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed No | 76c | 30.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 78c | 26.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 58c | 17.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Querétaro FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.