Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-08-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78ee05487bd5bd7815bc07dd1fb6f5bd6ca43f6dd7bf25440dab03f821e0b8ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 11,796$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.98 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 5c | 5,328$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 9c | 1,169$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 29c | 542$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.95 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 72c | 499.86$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 24c | 450.32$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.88 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 29c | 421.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +199.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 29c | 418.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 359.29$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 10c | 338.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 9c | 314$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 292.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 9c | 242.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 9c | 229.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 9c | 151$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…f767backed No | 72c | 119.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…017dbacked Yes | 29c | 119.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 71c | 63.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 71c | 45.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Yes | 27c | 42.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8a…f7abbacked Yes | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 72c | 24.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed No | 73c | 21.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-08-21?this page
- Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?Yes won
- Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.