Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d015031493b9e393c789acc3240541fd551a7ca3a7313b7c5d2858466781eb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fariaof Tiafoe, Faria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Faria | 57c | 4,410$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.33 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Tiafoe | 44c | 3,202$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.82 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Faria | 53c | 659.38$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.91 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Tiafoe | 47c | 619.23$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.04 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Tiafoe | 47c | 430$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 223 | 38.6%86 W · 137 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Faria | 53c | 352.47$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.66 | 372 | 47.3%176 W · 196 L | -17.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…e741backed Tiafoe | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Tiafoe | 47c | 212.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Tiafoe | 47c | 206.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Faria | 55c | 201.82$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tiafoe | 42c | 181.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…1256backed Tiafoe | 47c | 151.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Tiafoe | 32c | 79.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Faria | 57c | 66.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Tiafoe | 43c | 59.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Tiafoe | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Tiafoe | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Faria | 53c | 49.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Faria | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Faria | 55c | 22.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)this page
- Faria vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Faria vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Jaime Faria vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Jaime Faria vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances TiafoeFrances Tiafoe won
- Set 1 Winner: Faria vs TiafoeFaria won
- Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-2.5) vs Faria (+2.5)Faria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.