Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Faria vs Tiafoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x072c74ea560054616963b6d25fcd8d03727311db054ebcde7ad0a82add3378db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fariaof Faria, Tiafoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Tiafoe | 59c | 4,238$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Faria | 41c | 3,171$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.6 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Faria | 63c | 1,500$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.49 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Tiafoe | 62c | 862.77$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.92 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Faria | 41c | 854$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.86 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Faria | 39c | 810.02$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Faria | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tiafoe | 30c | 650$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.7 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…4e15backed Faria | 49c | 412.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.24 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Tiafoe | 37c | 326.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.66 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tiafoe | 37c | 306.4$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Tiafoe | 48c | 248.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Tiafoe | 57c | 247.54$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Faria | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tiafoe | 51c | 212.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Faria | 44c | 210.85$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Faria | 41c | 203.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Tiafoe | 52c | 201.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Faria | 69c | 200.28$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…9dbabacked Tiafoe | 55c | 182.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed Tiafoe | 29c | 166.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Tiafoe | 37c | 127.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Tiafoe | 35c | 125.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Faria | 51c | 108$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tiafoe | 36c | 106.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Faria | 52c | 91.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Faria | 44c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tiafoe | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Tiafoe | 34c | 69.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Tiafoe | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Tiafoe | 31c | 54.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Faria | 44c | 50.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Tiafoe | 61c | 29.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 364 | 64.3%234 W · 130 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Faria | 47c | 27.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Faria vs Tiafoethis page
- Faria vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Faria vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Jaime Faria vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Jaime Faria vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances TiafoeFrances Tiafoe won
- Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)Faria won
- Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-2.5) vs Faria (+2.5)Faria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.