TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Kings: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$225,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e3e…80a9backed Over51c10,653$5,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,219.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…37bbbacked Under49c9,848$4,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,825.281457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e33…8166backed Over51c6,953$3,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,406.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32c6…eae8backed Under49c6,331$3,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,102.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe211…2b66backed Over51c6,044$3,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,961.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x444f…b031backed Under49c6,002$2,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,940.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd130…0629backed Under49c5,424$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f5c…79fabacked Under49c5,210$2,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb958…26d7backed Under49c4,953$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee7e…51a6backed Over51c4,804$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f9…89d0backed Under49c4,523$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1aa…d497backed Over51c4,433$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55c1…720bbacked Under49c4,344$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27a4…f24dbacked Over51c4,229$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8711…ab35backed Over51c4,216$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa962…cdb0backed Over51c4,196$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2439…ee70backed Under49c4,158$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf027…f933backed Under49c4,072$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48cd…fa12backed Over51c4,004$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fd…881bbacked Over51c3,917$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f1…1a0bbacked Over51c3,734$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51d5…98c2backed Over51c3,731$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32e0…c28ebacked Over51c3,572$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x793f…1f76backed Over51c3,548$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21e8…3fcabacked Over51c3,517$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.33520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-60.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5dc…89d4backed Under49c3,496$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x205f…caeabacked Under49c3,456$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf664…22c3backed Under49c3,442$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b04…9ad8backed Over51c3,417$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over44c3,411$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.9715450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb402…19c3backed Over51c3,321$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443f…8823backed Under49c3,270$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…5722backed Over51c3,180$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8a9…721cbacked Under49c3,041$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2946…8bb2backed Under49c2,973$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under55c2,962$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.563,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb44…48b9backed Over51c2,962$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x523b…3062backed Under49c2,958$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c4…6e9cbacked Under49c2,952$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9669backed Over51c2,911$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eab…0ae5backed Over51c2,888$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe127…bfa7backed Under49c2,868$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61a4…7c90backed Under49c2,739$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ae…29bfbacked Over51c2,735$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e1…5f55backed Under49c2,662$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb51e…cab4backed Under49c2,658$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.42520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46ce…7690backed Over51c2,636$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82db…aa36backed Over51c2,598$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88e0…289ebacked Over51c2,485$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.65450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…bf84backed Over51c2,472$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…3f58backed Under49c2,462$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.38333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x532f…f5e6backed Under49c2,397$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd838…5c61backed Under49c2,370$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0fe…393abacked Under49c2,367$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d14…f16abacked Over51c2,362$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae8…937bbacked Under49c2,347$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53cd…1ec8backed Over51c2,332$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefd1…723bbacked Under49c2,309$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe707…c802backed Under49c2,267$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ec6…ab91backed Under49c2,255$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa335…923abacked Over51c2,216$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0524…b8a6backed Over51c2,202$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a48…1aacbacked Over51c2,197$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf308…1282backed Under49c2,172$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9811…8976backed Under49c2,124$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e0…2c84backed Under49c2,124$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over51c2,118$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.8315147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc859…5fe5backed Under49c2,100$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3493…e90ebacked Under49c2,094$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fb…31b3backed Over51c2,093$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7436…a657backed Over51c2,078$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e1…afa1backed Over51c2,066$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21e3…26aabacked Over51c2,065$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc78…8139backed Over51c2,065$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e48…ebeebacked Under49c2,064$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dea…3ba2backed Under49c2,062$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff40…8472backed Over51c2,053$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe52f…9932backed Under49c2,035$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.1540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f48…8e34backed Under49c2,021$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x798f…889fbacked Over51c2,002$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.98520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x724c…90c6backed Under49c2,002$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81aa…ea14backed Over51c1,986$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e14…6bdcbacked Under49c1,972$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc332…13c8backed Over51c1,967$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x301b…b17ebacked Over51c1,940$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea3…30d0backed Under49c1,931$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2e5…1a3ebacked Over51c1,892$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d34…e071backed Over51c1,889$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x231f…3cb6backed Under49c1,879$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa70f…3ae0backed Over51c1,875$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0e…2c98backed Under49c1,856$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f84…a2a1backed Over51c1,833$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f11…aeafbacked Under49c1,814$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd8…89e4backed Over51c1,774$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e2…bf7fbacked Under49c1,762$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc97f…36d4backed Under49c1,733$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ccf…1aaabacked Under49c1,688$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x813d…2b26backed Over51c1,687$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf6a…a05abacked Under49c1,670$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e59…f2febacked Over51c1,668$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.