Tennis · resolved market
Cervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Li Tu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8b41b778aa8eedc2ea162cf533a362eca339703cf6b28efea804f13c3c7bb8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tommaso Compagnucciof Tommaso Compagnucci, Li Tu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Li Tu | 35c | 3,407$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.46 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 58c | 2,093$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.71 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Li Tu | 1c | 1,311$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Tommaso Compagnucci | 65c | 808.58$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 55c | 713.5$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.07 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Li Tu | 41c | 679.54$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.61 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Li Tu | 13c | 440$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 77c | 376.28$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Li Tu | 45c | 330.01$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.36 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Li Tu | 17c | 297.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Li Tu | 7c | 272.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Li Tu | 42c | 265.52$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Li Tu | 49c | 258.63$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.58 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Li Tu | 43c | 247.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Tommaso Compagnucci | 59c | 228.75$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Li Tu | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Tommaso Compagnucci | 59c | 203.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Li Tu | 45c | 201.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 52c | 192.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…60b5backed Li Tu | 48c | 145.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 58c | 137.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 58c | 137.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Li Tu | 40c | 129.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…72dabacked Li Tu | 20c | 110.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Tommaso Compagnucci | 59c | 102.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Li Tu | 42c | 93.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 72c | 92.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…32a7backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 57c | 86.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 163 | 72.4%118 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 61c | 81.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Li Tu | 34c | 78.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 57c | 52.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 59c | 50.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Li Tu | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Li Tu | 42c | 47.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Li Tu | 45c | 43.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Li Tu | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Li Tu | 44c | 27.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Li Tu | 45c | 25.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tommaso Compagnucci | 59c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tommaso Compagnucci | 67c | 23.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Tommaso Compagnucci | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 62c | 22.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…ffb1backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 59c | 20.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tommaso Compagnucci | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Tommaso Compagnucci | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Li Tuthis page
- Compagnucci vs. Tu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.