Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83b44bdd62488a624f295dcc3ef0887ed7462ae9b31b603e0eb30c09a1d8042f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,836 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 79c | 60,056$47,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,611.8 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 21c | 29,220$6,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,136.2 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Yes | 21c | 27,361$5,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,745.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes | 26c | 23,275$6,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,029.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 10,503$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.84 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 78c | 8,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.98 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 7,103$5,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.74 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 5,419$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.97 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 74c | 4,777$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.31 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 78c | 4,509$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.94 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 21c | 3,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 78c | 3,375$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 22c | 2,441$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.87 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 2,061$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.08 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,904$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.39 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 21c | 1,845$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.45 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 75c | 1,838$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.47 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 1,725$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.25 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 1,600$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.97 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked No | 78c | 1,025$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 77cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 79c | 978.48$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.48 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 78c | 736$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 21c | 700$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 524.4$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 418.38$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.23 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 73c | 302$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed No | 80c | 292.89$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 77c | 229.98$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…882dbacked No | 78c | 212.93$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 21c | 195.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 77c | 194$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 22c | 181.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed No | 77c | 180.16$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yes | 23c | 175.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 23c | 157$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 15c | 129.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2401…fe0bbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 103.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 23c | 101$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 21c | 95.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 25c | 86.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 78c | 86.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 78c | 85.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…8bfdbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 69.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x979d…87dcbacked No | 79c | 63.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed No | 79c | 60.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Yes | 22c | 46.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9192…92acbacked No | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7649…a58dbacked No | 80c | 40.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…5a50backed No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed No | 79c | 27.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…da9fbacked No | 80c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105a…a152backed No | 78c | 22.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed No | 80c | 20.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 18.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked No | 80c | 13.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b15…569ebacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.