Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa45b020359848303b2f3ea0ac016d5383216da9ed289d92b37066fb097601717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,078 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 7,570$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.68 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 4,646$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.86 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 67c | 2,374$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 70cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 1,994$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.49 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 59c | 1,900$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.96 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 1,705$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.4 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 1,133$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.53 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 858.49$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.47 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 31c | 831.44$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.5 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 70c | 688.69$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.16 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 499.98$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…a3a9backed Yes | 28c | 379.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd4…6632backed Yes | 28c | 369.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 354.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…49b1backed Yes | 28c | 346.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 337.95$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 28c | 253.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 28c | 229.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 154$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…2421backed Yes | 20c | 153.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcb…575ebacked Yes | 17c | 152.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c6…a66cbacked No | 73c | 143.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…5da9backed No | 73c | 138.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…a8f0backed No | 73c | 137.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f56…f76ebacked No | 73c | 121.46$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…010dbacked No | 73c | 118.43$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…ca31backed No | 73c | 116.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a72…9be0backed No | 73c | 115.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 35c | 115$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffa…34dfbacked No | 73c | 106.62$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…89ccbacked No | 73c | 97.22$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…bec4backed Yes | 28c | 76.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 28c | 74.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…f0f4backed Yes | 28c | 71.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed No | 73c | 66.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 75cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 62.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 61.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 32c | 59.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 20c | 57.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb350…bfb8backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 46.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…e6c4backed No | 67c | 23.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 22.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 73c | 20.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?this page
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-03-08?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.