Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Memphis Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x489f93f9b7403a9093b743f7769da990961a68d32f5325db5dfd1adde42fb924
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulane Green Waveof Memphis Tigers, Tulane Green Wave
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,319 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Memphis Tigers | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.46 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Memphis Tigers | 24c | 1,845$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.75 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Tulane Green Wave | 46c | 1,317$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Tulane Green Wave | 46c | 497.93$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.68 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tulane Green Wave | 33c | 274.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.21 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tulane Green Wave | 13c | 259.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.85 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tulane Green Wave | 72c | 230.19$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x979d…87dcbacked Memphis Tigers | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Memphis Tigers | 47c | 200.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Tulane Green Wave | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 129.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 105.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Memphis Tigers | 52c | 92.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Memphis Tigers | 48c | 78.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 61.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Memphis Tigers | 48c | 61.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Memphis Tigers | 54c | 36.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Memphis Tigers | 70c | 33.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Memphis Tigers | 48c | 29.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 29.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Tulane Green Wave | 55c | 26.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Tulane Green Wave | 51c | 23.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green WaveMemphis Tigers won
- Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 151.5Over won
- Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 152.5Over won
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-2.5)Tulane Green Wave won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.