Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53797ba896b13c5c5fdd9c20debc3f76f2f1b289452f93938bd0c57660cef218
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,193 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 53c | 12,617$6,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,930.01 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Under | 47c | 8,230$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,867.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,600$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.24 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…3996backed Under | 54c | 2,054$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 981.22$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.67 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 53c | 943.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.39 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 47c | 632.73$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 632.44$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.25 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 48c | 497.34$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.62 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 48c | 436.16$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Under | 47c | 407.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.53 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 47c | 337.46$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.61 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf556…d2c2backed Over | 54c | 257.01$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 224$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 47c | 127.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 47c | 118.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 45c | 110.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 104.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 47c | 102.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…76f2backed Under | 47c | 99.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Under | 47c | 63.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 38c | 56.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 47c | 40.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 47c | 35.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 59c | 33.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 47c | 31.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 47c | 31.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 47c | 31.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 47c | 31.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 47c | 23.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 47c | 21.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 152.5this page
- Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green WaveMemphis Tigers won
- Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-1.5)Tulane Green Wave won
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-2.5)Tulane Green Wave won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.