Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f12adbd65214f510e481ce8046e4ee5734fc989a91112d97336a7b76b954df5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 5c | 3,968$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,133$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.18 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 925.2$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.25 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 33c | 585$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 41c | 509$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.69 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31da…3f17backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 482.84$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.52 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 62c | 480.11$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.21 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 59c | 467.8$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked Yes | 30c | 426.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 5c | 383.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 41c | 243.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 61c | 214.81$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 150.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…2bb4backed No | 60c | 121.15$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Yes | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 69c | 71.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 69c | 71.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 69c | 71.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 39c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 58c | 51.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed No | 61c | 49.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…ef22backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Yes | 37c | 46.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 65c | 45.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…1cabbacked No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 59c | 41.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 59c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 36c | 39.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56f…d8e9backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…8300backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 59c | 36.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932e…6f5abacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 40c | 31.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 36c | 28.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 62c | 19.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 61c | 18.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.