Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x965a57979a1f2a50c4a60ddfc66e74032d3ec0d3dba0321db31a1f874ea64feb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 10c | 3,158$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.34 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,149$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 74c | 1,997$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.03 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 12c | 1,468$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.92 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed No | 62c | 946.18$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.55 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 73c | 943.35$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.75 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 841.65$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.03 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 73c | 756.77$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.16 | 197 | 65.5%129 W · 68 L | +27.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 662.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 14c | 478.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 11c | 430.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 399.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 7c | 304.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 28c | 300$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.39 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 36c | 296.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 64c | 244.6$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 44c | 220.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 38c | 192.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 11c | 181.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 10c | 163.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 11c | 154.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked No | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 13c | 144.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 34c | 139.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 23c | 126.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 80c | 57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 48.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673c…d452backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 59c | 30.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 64c | 16.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
- Will Gangwon FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.