Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ba9f5160907c9280a2ab9edd6689891afbb8631839d728409c2e34c854cf5cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 2,110$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.65 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 56c | 1,386$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.03 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 60c | 1,178$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.17 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.71 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 70c | 1,012$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.78 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 78c | 912.6$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.45 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 12c | 900.17$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed No | 55c | 889.57$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 30c | 836.36$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.06 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 42c | 571.06$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 59c | 482.31$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.17 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 75c | 373.44$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 41c | 330.35$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 184 | 42.4%78 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked Yes | 31c | 326.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.45 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 15c | 316.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…c93abacked Yes | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Yes | 45c | 251.42$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.28 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 10c | 249.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 57c | 249.81$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.22 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 70c | 223.9$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 69c | 223.57$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 42c | 189.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…ab88backed Yes | 50c | 168.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 30c | 159.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 72c | 143.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 13c | 125.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 124.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…7cefbacked Yes | 40c | 122.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 57c | 104.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 45c | 97.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed No | 53c | 91.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 45c | 77.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 45c | 72.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Yes | 42c | 71.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 48c | 62.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 64c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 47c | 59.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Yes | 35c | 57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 44c | 51.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 57c | 48.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 53c | 45.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 58c | 44.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 58c | 44.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 52c | 41.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…ca48backed Yes | 47c | 35.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 33.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 50c | 33.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 45c | 31.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 63c | 30.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 53c | 29.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Yes | 50c | 26.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.