Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aa0656642b81213e6c873b0b57bd8174890d88a2ab24abe03475e25009177a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 913.11$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.68 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 22c | 714.87$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.27 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 621.66$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.09 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 24c | 552.43$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 21c | 504.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.81 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 21c | 262.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 79c | 227.1$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 214.27$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 21c | 159$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 17c | 133.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 21c | 128.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 21c | 125.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0430…80a2backed Yes | 23c | 122.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 121.79$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 89.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…9acabacked Yes | 23c | 62.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 22c | 59.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 23c | 50.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.7wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 78c | 32.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 77c | 29.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed No | 78c | 14.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.