Tennis · resolved market
Heilbronn: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Pedro Martinez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70dbbb7474225b85c778086cfc73295d65fd7d19413cdbbe8bfdef0e6995f05c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pedro Martinezof Frederico Ferreira Silva, Pedro Martinez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 26c | 2,090$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.33 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Pedro Martinez | 70c | 1,731$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.07 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 36c | 1,385$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.67 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 57c | 1,127$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.41 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Pedro Martinez | 64c | 1,010$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.69 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Pedro Martinez | 42c | 978.48$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.52 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 36c | 975$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Pedro Martinez | 75c | 962.65$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.66 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Pedro Martinez | 77c | 925.2$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.38 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 18c | 775$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.34 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 14c | 726.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pedro Martinez | 75c | 683.13$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.87 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Pedro Martinez | 65c | 650$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 30c | 573.67$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.1 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 16c | 545.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 14c | 513.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…df4bbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 35c | 501.54$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.54 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Pedro Martinez | 64c | 461.54$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 22c | 449.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 23c | 372.58$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Pedro Martinez | 64c | 359.38$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Pedro Martinez | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 37c | 304$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 25c | 242.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 20c | 214.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…58dabacked Pedro Martinez | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Pedro Martinez | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Pedro Martinez | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 35c | 142.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 13c | 134$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…69a5backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 215 | 55.8%120 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Pedro Martinez | 64c | 117.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pedro Martinez | 63c | 111.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 36c | 101.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc44…3a2fbacked Pedro Martinez | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Pedro Martinez | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 17c | 93.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 21c | 89.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…a5b4backed Pedro Martinez | 69c | 73.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Pedro Martinez | 64c | 69.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 35c | 67.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e36…86c7backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Pedro Martinez | 74c | 61.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 18c | 60.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked Pedro Martinez | 69c | 58.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 37c | 57.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Pedro Martinez | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 35c | 46.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Pedro Martinez | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Pedro Martinez | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Pedro Martinez | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 35c | 42.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 36c | 40.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Pedro Martinez | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pedro Martinez | 42c | 30.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a311backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 37c | 30.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Pedro Martinez | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Pedro Martinez | 64c | 27.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Pedro Martinez | 63c | 25.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pedro Martinez | 65c | 21.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Pedro Martinez | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Pedro Martinez | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…b033backed Pedro Martinez | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Pedro Martinez | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.