Asian League · resolved market
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab50bee76d767f65cdeaa4786aac853c589ea111a9f64d99be7db94e96a97416
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 3c | 9,274$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.57 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 14c | 4,846$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.17 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 9c | 1,396$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 75c | 613.47$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.78 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 502.37$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.94 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 426.87$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.64 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 302.83$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.05 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 69c | 285.34$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 74c | 270.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 55c | 258$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 68c | 236.52$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 69c | 232.63$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 48c | 224$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 212.31$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 74c | 208.68$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 75c | 204.48$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…0f39backed No | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 50c | 194.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 72c | 153.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 51c | 97.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed No | 51c | 97.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 51c | 89.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…143abacked Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +95%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 54c | 66.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 46c | 64.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 54c | 59.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 46c | 56.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 20c | 49.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 54c | 48.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 53c | 47.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 51c | 42.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3213…7caebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 52c | 38.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…1a62backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…cdc1backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 51c | 36.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 29c | 34.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…e3fabacked Yes | 73c | 33.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e0…b78ebacked Yes | 49c | 30.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…4515backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…8616backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 54c | 25.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed No | 47c | 22.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 47c | 21.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…e54dbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.