Asian League · resolved market
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1a2b095bb8882fafe9ddac2cce52c5cba9df9b29a2a8a315a068e356d889676
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 71c | 10,000$7,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.23 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 4,333$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.5 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 4,168$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.58 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 29c | 818.5$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.37 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 626.06$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 29c | 555$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 71c | 467.58$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.59 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed Yes | 4c | 444.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 71c | 408.01$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.01 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 29c | 341.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 29c | 319.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 29c | 319.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 29c | 319.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 29c | 310.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 29c | 293.81$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 289.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 5c | 278.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 29c | 272.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 268.79$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 266.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 29c | 253.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 29c | 232.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 29c | 226.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 29c | 226.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 71c | 199.92$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 167.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 25c | 106.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 30c | 104$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 29c | 99.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 29c | 99.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 29c | 89.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 28c | 80.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 71c | 79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked Yes | 30c | 40.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…4f45backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 79c | 32.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 71c | 24.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.