Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Emerson Jones vs Liudmila Samsonova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2a824015879417b05ac33bcefd9a7447572fef05ca33ece00412bada0a48000
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsonovaof Jones, Samsonova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jones | 16c | 3,049$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.76 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jones | 7c | 1,665$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jones | 36c | 1,325$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.03 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Samsonova | 64c | 1,048$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.28 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Jones | 37c | 699.96$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Jones | 34c | 635.83$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.31 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Samsonova | 68c | 590.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jones | 40c | 563.92$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.11 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Jones | 38c | 526.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Samsonova | 58c | 382.76$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Samsonova | 63c | 281.24$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jones | 42c | 266.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Jones | 38c | 262.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Jones | 32c | 251.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jones | 14c | 242.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Jones | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Samsonova | 59c | 168.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Samsonova | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jones | 25c | 148.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Samsonova | 65c | 123.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Samsonova | 56c | 103.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Samsonova | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Samsonova | 64c | 86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Samsonova | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Samsonova | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Samsonova | 63c | 70.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Jones | 27c | 68.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Samsonova | 66c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jones | 36c | 62.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Jones | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jones | 29c | 57.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Samsonova | 42c | 57.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Samsonova | 63c | 50.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Jones | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Jones | 36c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Samsonova | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…9ff7backed Jones | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jones | 36c | 40.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Jones | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Samsonova | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Jones | 33c | 37.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jones | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Samsonova | 66c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Jones | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Jones | 38c | 26.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…d89dbacked Samsonova | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Samsonova | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Emerson Jones vs Liudmila Samsonovathis page
- Jones vs. Samsonova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Jones vs. Samsonova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Jones vs SamsonovaSamsonova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.