TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ASB Classic: Sinja Kraus vs Francesca Jones

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jonesof Kraus, Jones
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,331
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,331 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Jones70c8,523$5,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.376146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Jones32c4,702$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,202.471,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kraus31c4,031$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.7516825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Kraus39c3,802$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.8335247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kraus56c3,087$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.5611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kraus33c2,807$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.6355143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kraus29c2,759$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80076140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kraus45c2,607$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.748,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jones37c2,559$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.36,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Kraus34c2,220$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75041645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Jones36c1,572$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.9725542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jones42c1,376$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.051,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jones15c1,265$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.646,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jones50c1,263$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.772,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jones33c1,176$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.932,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Kraus30c1,057$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.144125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Kraus48c1,022$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.781,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Kraus30c728.57$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5710043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Jones37c700.29$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.182729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Jones65c638$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.37655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Jones44c563$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.123644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jones68c515$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.87,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kraus29c506.94$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9427944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jones42c474.66$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.977,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Jones64c440$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.478152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Kraus65c437.2$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.682,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Jones25c400.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.228726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Jones45c347.72$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9816150.3%81 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Kraus63c333.76$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.272,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Kraus31c333$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.23540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Kraus67c323.68$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.942937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jones33c318.39$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.582,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Kraus33c305.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ea6…0890backed Kraus30c250$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767724.7%19 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Kraus49c214.08$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.81,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Kraus44c211$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5446649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Jones69c199.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Kraus33c196.61$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8810252%53 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kraus51c185.9$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.152,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Jones50c180$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.622236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Jones38c173.68$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6818663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Kraus65c155.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.361266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcd2…85b5backed Jones71c154.01$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Jones51c137.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1328139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Kraus27c131.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.81,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36ec…629abacked Kraus79c125.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Jones65c121.7$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.634842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Jones11c116.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.341565.8%9 W · 147 L-32.4wins-0.21per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x96ef…5523backed Jones71c112.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.681485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Kraus78c110$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.859348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Jones46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.718659.7%111 W · 75 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Kraus30c102$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.618548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jones71c94$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.511,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Kraus33c88.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.911,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Kraus37c79.34$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3410755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Kraus62c72.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512344.7%55 W · 68 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8566…3750backed Kraus47c70.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.861717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jones28c67.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.637,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1288…dbbbbacked Kraus30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Jones21c64.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.698313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Jones72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.84358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Kraus30c59.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.153756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Jones29c55.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.358645.3%39 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Kraus53c51.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.414947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ad…69ccbacked Kraus49c50.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6680…c738backed Kraus54c47.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.611154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Kraus43c42.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.225719.3%11 W · 46 L-12.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-68.3%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Kraus48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…7281backed Kraus77c40.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3140%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked Kraus64c39.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.785660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Jones72c34.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.839850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd942…7a49backed Kraus63c34.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.421729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Kraus44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4883…98abbacked Jones77c33.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.783271.9%23 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4dc…840bbacked Jones65c32.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-56.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Jones71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.173865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed Jones69c27.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.572343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8193…a0d7backed Kraus53c26.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c80…aa9abacked Kraus43c26.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.533151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Kraus39c26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.141,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac0…63c8backed Jones67c22.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.483360.6%20 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd2…d794backed Jones70c21.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.322748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x383c…d1b8backed Jones76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Jones70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618447.3%87 W · 97 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.