TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Movies · resolved market

Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,268
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,268 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Movies
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf37…993fbacked No4c1,163$47 inLost-$46.724721.3%10 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No3c397.1$11 inLost-$10.862119.5%20 W · 191 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No23c228.27$52 inLost-$51.631,21817.8%217 W · 1,001 L-124.0wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No9c228$21 inLost-$20.527135.2%25 W · 46 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No12c217.53$27 inLost-$26.6313337.6%50 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No16c167.23$27 inLost-$27.4867232%215 W · 457 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No12c154.24$19 inLost-$18.9787033.3%290 W · 580 L-77.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b4b…b93cbacked No12c136.78$16 inLost-$15.95831%18 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No23c114.24$26 inLost-$26.231,3948%111 W · 1,283 L-47.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No11c94$10 inLost-$10.1434651.2%177 W · 169 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No19c78$15 inLost-$14.8222030.5%67 W · 153 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8393…9fd6backed Yes51c68.57$35 inWon+$33.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes75c66.33$50 inWon+$16.337627.6%21 W · 55 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-43%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdfa…0304backed Yes77c63.09$49 inWon+$14.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0340…0811backed No24c54.55$13 inLost-$1330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf08…cf97backed No23c49.18$11 inLost-$11.456619.7%13 W · 53 L-14.5wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes54c43$23 inWon+$19.781729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-56.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae91…0f69backed No43c38.33$16 inLost-$16.48658.1%50 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972c…d0a1backed Yes56c33.82$19 inWon+$14.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b8…6f30backed No37c32.03$12 inLost-$11.821330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7516…a90bbacked Yes70c29.84$21 inWon+$8.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xede6…00c3backed Yes54c27.78$15 inWon+$12.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59c2…de58backed Yes40c25$10 inWon+$152536%9 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437b…22dbbacked Yes66c23.58$16 inWon+$7.91944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44db…e66fbacked Yes78c13$10 inWon+$2.86560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8323…29c0backed Yes80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.