Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Little Rock Trojans vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfffbeb9cb084ed1f935a6807af4bcca784a659caff36f5f7bc5ab689d2055958
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southeast Missouri State Redhawksof Little Rock Trojans, Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 71c | 1,464$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.56 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 70c | 1,366$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.39 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Little Rock Trojans | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Little Rock Trojans | 29c | 697$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.69 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Little Rock Trojans | 29c | 629.06$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.41 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Little Rock Trojans | 29c | 580.26$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.28 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Little Rock Trojans | 2c | 530.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Little Rock Trojans | 13c | 516.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Little Rock Trojans | 28c | 507.06$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.74 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 70c | 507.03$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Little Rock Trojans | 34c | 396.21$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.76 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Little Rock Trojans | 34c | 330$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Little Rock Trojans | 30c | 290$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Little Rock Trojans | 32c | 244.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 70c | 222.16$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 70c | 175.82$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Little Rock Trojans | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Little Rock Trojans | 29c | 131.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 67c | 93.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc017…71c1backed Little Rock Trojans | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 71c | 76.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Little Rock Trojans | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Little Rock Trojans | 29c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…22e4backed Little Rock Trojans | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Little Rock Trojans | 29c | 62.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Little Rock Trojans | 23c | 57.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 70c | 56.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Little Rock Trojans | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Little Rock Trojans | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Little Rock Trojans | 31c | 49.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9050…0a7abacked Little Rock Trojans | 33c | 43.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Little Rock Trojans | 30c | 36.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Little Rock Trojans vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawksthis page
- Little Rock Trojans vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawks: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (-5.5)Little Rock Trojans won
- Spread: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (-6.5)Little Rock Trojans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.