Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d97d5a5ac4291afc274aa676f1f35f7ec1de9a734e5da624e56720cb4ac1924
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UT Arlington Mavericksof UT Arlington Mavericks, Utah Tech Trailblazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah Tech Trailblazers | 26c | 3,913$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Utah Tech Trailblazers | 14c | 2,583$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.57 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…038bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 75c | 2,308$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 74c | 1,654$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.91 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 77c | 1,277$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.42 | 97 | 71.1%69 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 74c | 1,212$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.65 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 73c | 1,209$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.3 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers | 28c | 992.66$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.98 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Utah Tech Trailblazers | 28c | 977.72$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.71 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers | 52c | 774.56$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.02 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 50c | 643.04$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.64 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Utah Tech Trailblazers | 17c | 589.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 47c | 570.38$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.3 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers | 34c | 512.4$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.91 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 45c | 340.57$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.91 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Utah Tech Trailblazers | 6c | 334.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 48c | 302.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.34 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 77c | 270$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 72c | 245$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Utah Tech Trailblazers | 49c | 222.09$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Utah Tech Trailblazers | 53c | 208$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 79c | 174.24$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 72c | 159.62$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers | 49c | 108.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…530dbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers | 30c | 94.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Utah Tech Trailblazers | 54c | 86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Utah Tech Trailblazers | 25c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah Tech Trailblazers | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…92b8backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9050…0a7abacked Utah Tech Trailblazers | 54c | 63.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Utah Tech Trailblazers | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Utah Tech Trailblazers | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3c…44aebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…19bfbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8905…fe23backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 72c | 16.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…c0debacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersthis page
- Spread: Utah Tech Trailblazers (-1.5)UT Arlington Mavericks won
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 141.5Under won
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.