CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9894b729b0758988ee95d2a31817cebbbcc044f7c6a984ff2965680e90d12c1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fingers Crossedof Fingers Crossed, Metizport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Metizport | 54c | 2,830$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.18 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Metizport | 9c | 2,282$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.72 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Fingers Crossed | 46c | 1,589$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Fingers Crossed | 46c | 1,541$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.04 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked Metizport | 30c | 1,401$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Metizport | 5c | 1,097$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Metizport | 11c | 489.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fingers Crossed | 55c | 455$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Metizport | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Fingers Crossed | 46c | 291.3$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.3 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Fingers Crossed | 41c | 250$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…53d7backed Fingers Crossed | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked Fingers Crossed | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…0d30backed Metizport | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Fingers Crossed | 75c | 133.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Metizport | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Metizport | 22c | 98.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Metizport | 22c | 80.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Metizport | 62c | 64.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Fingers Crossed | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…b931backed Fingers Crossed | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Fingers Crossed | 42c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Metizport | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Metizport | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2c…35d8backed Metizport | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed Fingers Crossed | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…e4a0backed Fingers Crossed | 67c | 37.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Fingers Crossed | 55c | 33.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…af48backed Fingers Crossed | 76c | 26.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Metizport | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868c…279dbacked Fingers Crossed | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs Metizport - Map 2 WinnerMetizport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.