Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf651a2bbfa24804d6063de9a39b55f053082b619616daaee01121496e8a484c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oakland Golden Grizzliesof Oakland Golden Grizzlies, Milwaukee Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 59c | 4,250$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.98 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 40c | 1,588$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 39c | 1,543$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.79 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Milwaukee Panthers | 21c | 1,324$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.19 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Milwaukee Panthers | 41c | 1,244$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.13 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Milwaukee Panthers | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 61c | 956.36$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.98 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 75c | 911.88$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.54 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 60c | 770.62$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.75 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Milwaukee Panthers | 13c | 621.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Milwaukee Panthers | 44c | 589$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.16 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 61c | 411.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.64 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Milwaukee Panthers | 8c | 357$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 43c | 297.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 61c | 210.25$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 56c | 197.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…4b9bbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 45c | 152.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 59c | 141.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 70c | 131.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Milwaukee Panthers | 13c | 130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Milwaukee Panthers | 14c | 115$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Milwaukee Panthers | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 56c | 97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 79c | 90.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 21c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Milwaukee Panthers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Milwaukee Panthers | 37c | 41.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Milwaukee Panthers | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7631…98c2backed Milwaukee Panthers | 39c | 33.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Milwaukee Panthers | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Milwaukee Panthers | 39c | 28.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 60c | 28.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Milwaukee Panthers | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 71c | 25.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Panthersthis page
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Panthers: O/U 164.5Under won
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Panthers: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-2.5)Oakland Golden Grizzlies won
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-3.5)Oakland Golden Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.