Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8411ddd9f139bce98f06b8acffb135c94f97fd02525770862b2e9d9673edbfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 10c | 2,910$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.01 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 1c | 1,900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 13c | 1,463$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 13c | 1,386$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.29 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 12c | 1,059$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.17 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 10c | 959.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 4c | 881$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 14c | 614.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…cf4bbacked Yes | 11c | 546.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +379.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…0156backed Yes | 12c | 509.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 12c | 504.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Yes | 13c | 331.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…9e46backed Yes | 11c | 314.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 12c | 293.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 12c | 293$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 8c | 272.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes | 13c | 242.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 13c | 215.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 10c | 185.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 9c | 108.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.