CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b3f0b56ce7a1cf75aec197fcb9f7ee8bdf65558ac2ea9971449c3096780d338
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GamerLegion | 42c | 8,944$3,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,715.27 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 4,724$3,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.24 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 3,737$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.55 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 3,334$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.5 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 780$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…1bdabacked GamerLegion | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked GamerLegion | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked GamerLegion | 23c | 496$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.01 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed GamerLegion | 17c | 461.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 408.21$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.28 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked GamerLegion | 32c | 377.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.71 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…0915backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 342.64$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.64 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked GamerLegion | 18c | 280$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed GamerLegion | 28c | 245.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed GamerLegion | 30c | 240$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 179 | 49.7%89 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a22…f8d8backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 179.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.61 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked GamerLegion | 58c | 171.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 138.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 129.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 123$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked GamerLegion | 53c | 110.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed GamerLegion | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked GamerLegion | 39c | 69.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed GamerLegion | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…55d2backed GamerLegion | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed GamerLegion | 21c | 49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868c…279dbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 19.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.