CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ad9a38d618ce04f30f9da1b23b0c7770045e9e9960a896df4e336ad32f2026c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked GamerLegion | 34c | 4,013$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GamerLegion | 36c | 2,985$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.95 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,840$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.58 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed GamerLegion | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 1,407$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.89 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked GamerLegion | 35c | 1,400$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.83 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…1bdabacked GamerLegion | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.8 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 950$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked GamerLegion | 39c | 865.79$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.09 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GamerLegion | 3c | 620$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 582.14$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.78 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed GamerLegion | 34c | 492.15$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.04 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked GamerLegion | 36c | 492.15$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.17 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 472.29$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 432.94$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.08 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed GamerLegion | 24c | 402.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…0915backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 300.85$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 265$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 226.37$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 17c | 200.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked GamerLegion | 37c | 196.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…126fbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 138.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion | 21c | 131.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed GamerLegion | 35c | 100.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed GamerLegion | 22c | 97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 76.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked GamerLegion | 20c | 60.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…038abacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 53.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked GamerLegion | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 43.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 41.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked GamerLegion | 30c | 41.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 34.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…d220backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…5ddbbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a22…f8d8backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.