Asian League · resolved market
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c78f429418f6f751941e3ca43bc5b03419437e12030b1ed42e9676a8008a1c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 5,803$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.31 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 32c | 3,980$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.51 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 1,494$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.72 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 38c | 1,409$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.87 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 15c | 1,376$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 38c | 367.97$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.26 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Over | 41c | 246.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 39c | 128.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c0…d9ffbacked Under | 62c | 119.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 63c | 101.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c71…5cdbbacked Over | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 63c | 52.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Under | 63c | 47.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 43.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 63c | 34.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 63c | 28.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…2f25backed Under | 61c | 21.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 61c | 16.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Under | 62c | 16.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.