Asian League · resolved market
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35ffcca7034b1f0244b51d726a51769c0b8c3dd7d7f8f9a2660e0f14c030ef67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 7,924$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 6,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 34c | 1,250$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.42 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 900.85$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.04 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 30c | 809.75$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 32c | 510$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 42c | 398.24$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.15 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 52c | 231.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 42c | 178.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 58c | 157.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 60c | 157.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Over | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 53c | 86.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 58c | 84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 58c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 58c | 64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 60.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 50c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.