Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc90d0776fbe3cd50c889c28f13310cd25b2425e2657ac50ef994d27e51a068a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 9c | 6,731$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.55 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 9c | 3,218$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.76 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 5c | 2,555$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,190$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.08 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…106bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,115$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 4c | 1,147$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…bb52backed Yes | 7c | 1,114$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,062$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3244…5b5dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,007$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…a8d5backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…3df6backed Yes | 14c | 992.83$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 7c | 765.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 58 | 5.2%3 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed Yes | 6c | 682.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 671$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a4…c8a2backed Yes | 11c | 464.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 4c | 387.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 180 | 26.1%47 W · 133 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 5c | 377.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 9c | 365.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 326.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…7970backed Yes | 6c | 315.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 9c | 221.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…9d39backed Yes | 13c | 202$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…05b5backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 197.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 8c | 143.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 11c | 131$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…1531backed Yes | 10c | 129$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?this page
- Will Zohran Mamdani win 0 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win 1 borough in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win 2 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win 3 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.