Us Politics · resolved market
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d622175f4128c3e45aca597b128a21318fa1dbef8e7e7d1827ad9c05885e6d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 3c | 9,287$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.52 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.41 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 3c | 3,794$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 2c | 3,343$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 6c | 3,000$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 5c | 2,704$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.59 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…d383backed Yes | 8c | 2,298$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…c3f1backed Yes | 5c | 2,072$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 8c | 1,570$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.83 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 7c | 1,353$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,111$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 1,089$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 1,051$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 6c | 871.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…a1fabacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…f6cabacked Yes | 6c | 352.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…ba50backed Yes | 8c | 340$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes | 8c | 330$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 5c | 314.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…faa8backed Yes | 7c | 271.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 7c | 260.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d2…0bf8backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132c…c285backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15de…356cbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7c6bbacked Yes | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd39c…8a14backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe80…2ba0backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66e…0107backed Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.