Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: Hannover 96 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69dbae0cb73ad5f9b4897a5b0e05f531ec0bc37f0869b05beee3fbba045a4e65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SC Preußen Münsterof Hannover 96, SC Preußen Münster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Hannover 96 | 26c | 17,695$4,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,685.65 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed SC Preußen Münster | 73c | 10,200$7,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +831.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SC Preußen Münster | 73c | 3,583$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.15 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SC Preußen Münster | 77c | 2,150$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.05 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed SC Preußen Münster | 73c | 1,515$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.88 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Hannover 96 | 46c | 1,080$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SC Preußen Münster | 66c | 703.15$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.53 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed SC Preußen Münster | 73c | 659.68$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.11 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed SC Preußen Münster | 54c | 426$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.43 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed SC Preußen Münster | 53c | 360.28$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.33 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Hannover 96 | 28c | 344.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Hannover 96 | 40c | 308$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Hannover 96 | 28c | 297.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Hannover 96 | 25c | 294.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SC Preußen Münster | 55c | 283$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Hannover 96 | 27c | 176.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked SC Preußen Münster | 73c | 158.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed SC Preußen Münster | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed SC Preußen Münster | 53c | 128.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 73 | 78.1%57 W · 16 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed Hannover 96 | 27c | 125.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…9ca2backed Hannover 96 | 45c | 111.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Hannover 96 | 27c | 107.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked SC Preußen Münster | 55c | 104.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Hannover 96 | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SC Preußen Münster | 54c | 91.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed Hannover 96 | 45c | 89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…31eebacked Hannover 96 | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Hannover 96 | 48c | 62.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked SC Preußen Münster | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SC Preußen Münster | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Hannover 96 | 45c | 44.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked SC Preußen Münster | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed SC Preußen Münster | 65c | 34.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked SC Preußen Münster | 73c | 33.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…9dcebacked SC Preußen Münster | 73c | 28.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked SC Preußen Münster | 75c | 28.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked SC Preußen Münster | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed SC Preußen Münster | 73c | 24.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed SC Preußen Münster | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hannover 96 (-1.5)this page
- Hannover 96 vs. SC Preußen Münster: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hannover 96 vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hannover 96 vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hannover 96 vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hannover 96 vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.