Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb84e567ea853e70b1b27b633b7a189ac9fa375bdb5f0acad588f131bad66ef3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heart of Midlothian FCof Heart of Midlothian FC, Falkirk FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Falkirk FC | 58c | 3,630$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.78 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 56c | 1,188$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 43c | 635.26$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.47 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 45c | 559.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 77c | 537.78$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 42c | 423.74$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.96 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 45c | 414.54$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.78 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Falkirk FC | 20c | 300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 43c | 289.69$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.17 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 42c | 258.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 25c | 255.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.66 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 42c | 215.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Falkirk FC | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Falkirk FC | 75c | 182$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.11 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 44c | 114.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 42c | 78.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 42c | 76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 44c | 58.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +71%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Falkirk FC | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 41c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…31eebacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Falkirk FC | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Falkirk FC | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Falkirk FC | 55c | 29.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 54c | 28.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Falkirk FC | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)this page
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Falkirk FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Falkirk FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Falkirk FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Falkirk FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Falkirk FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.