Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb63d377de8e5f118b433f8403961be47db6deb2dacdb361fa4594ba845eae569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 66c | 4,549$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.88 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 33c | 4,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.95 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 31c | 1,137$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.36 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 2c | 756.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 66c | 388.18$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.78 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +11.6wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 68c | 118.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 49c | 102.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 15c | 96.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 53c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 56.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…6638backed Over | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…56ebbacked Over | 76c | 55.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 74c | 50.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…5ac0backed Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 57cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 53c | 37.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…378abacked Under | 73c | 36.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 31.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 56c | 26.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 68c | 15.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.