Asian League · resolved market
Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1be99ac9271f851a47ac20759547fdb5900d1f7d191f811146a6ec479155bd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 62c | 345.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.51 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 61c | 301$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.61 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 77c | 250$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 19c | 243.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 61c | 240.34$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.61 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 39c | 226.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 23c | 189.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 15c | 189.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 96.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 61c | 93.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 38c | 89.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 39c | 78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ba…b677backed Under | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 73c | 62.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…ccbabacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 62c | 47.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 59c | 46.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 37c | 37.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Under | 79c | 33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 66 | 92.4%61 W · 5 L | +17.8wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5)Gwangju FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.