TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,452 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under22c11,070$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.9837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…487dbacked Under49c9,826$4,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,853.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c3,978$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.2630828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over57c3,690$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.8134239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under33c3,543$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under24c3,460$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.331010%1 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-65%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Under2c3,334$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over67c3,040$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.1812350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over66c2,933$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.721,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under25c2,756$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00018923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under16c1,609$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.191060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over76c1,501$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.251139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over75c994.69$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.7522545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under22c800.77$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3939740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under28c797.3$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.522770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x811e…ce09backed Over73c688.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under30c663.33$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under46c656.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-50.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under36c625.36$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.54475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under4c579.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-55%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over77c553.92$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.564940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over75c534$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over75c508.82$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over59c499.98$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under45c443.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-55.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+99.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over58c382.89$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.251145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Under54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Over46c370.37$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under29c355.55$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1141954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ddd…8011backed Over46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.09683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+70.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under30c275.89$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.555623.2%13 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over74c227.21$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4646742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over68c211$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.096155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over76c204.36$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over47c195$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under31c192$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over69c178.41$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.523545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over70c173$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.546544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under25c158.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.572536%9 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over57c157.46$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.531738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over47c146.81$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.812250%11 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c09…b9b3backed Under13c136.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.14728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Over73c130$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.111667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Under12c127.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.94148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under38c117.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.041435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under23c113.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.967045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over72c99.92$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.341855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under37c98.14$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.041637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0420452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under23c89.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.442025%5 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under35c86.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.479045.6%41 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over60c85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.599056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under37c81.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71e8…2f67backed Over66c75.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Under39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over46c62.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.77552%39 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over69c57.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7127453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.553551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Under28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over80c45.96$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.198958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under31c39.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.242842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over69c39.15$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under28c37.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.465254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over59c37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.233655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under33c36.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over75c35.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8523345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7eb…da58backed Over59c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.25650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x096b…7676backed Over53c33.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Over56c32.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.291030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under37c27.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.062231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over75c26.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.662560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Over77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.752250%11 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under54c22.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over69c19.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.125158.8%30 W · 21 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Over80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.75977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+51.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2481…878dbacked Over70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.29561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.47051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over77c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2218055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over73c13.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6718125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.