Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Venezia FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x846927d44e6e85ac59abed788d6ed7addc9ec4c1b676e53fe3ed78800ce8707d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- US Lecceof Venezia FC, US Lecce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Venezia FC | 30c | 12,179$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Venezia FC | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked US Lecce | 71c | 9,153$6,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.56 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed US Lecce | 78c | 5,396$4,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed US Lecce | 70c | 2,195$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.37 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…089abacked Venezia FC | 29c | 1,500$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed US Lecce | 79c | 1,134$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.19 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked US Lecce | 76c | 1,024$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.88 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked US Lecce | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed US Lecce | 75c | 993.51$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487e…0d66backed Venezia FC | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Venezia FC | 24c | 319.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed Venezia FC | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed US Lecce | 73c | 151.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Venezia FC | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked US Lecce | 76c | 149.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Venezia FC | 28c | 119.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed US Lecce | 71c | 110.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked US Lecce | 73c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Venezia FC | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked US Lecce | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked US Lecce | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked US Lecce | 74c | 89.63$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Venezia FC | 18c | 88.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…e746backed Venezia FC | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Venezia FC | 19c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked US Lecce | 72c | 60.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Venezia FC | 35c | 58.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed US Lecce | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked US Lecce | 76c | 39.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed US Lecce | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256c…259bbacked US Lecce | 77c | 35.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed US Lecce | 74c | 30.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +8.0wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked US Lecce | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked US Lecce | 71c | 20.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed US Lecce | 71c | 20.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed US Lecce | 75c | 20.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed US Lecce | 78c | 19.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Venezia FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: Venezia FC (-2.5)US Lecce won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 0.5Over won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Over won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 5.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: US Lecce 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: US Lecce O/U 2.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: Venezia FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: Venezia FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: Venezia FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: Venezia FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.