TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,701 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Over5c26,685$1,461 inLost-$1,461.0851139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over5c15,045$795 inLost-$794.622,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over25c8,838$2,246 inLost-$2,246.4618923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over4c6,310$279 inLost-$278.981,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over5c6,069$296 inLost-$295.7339740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under76c2,631$2,000 inWon+$631.4440447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over6c2,521$154 inLost-$154.2830828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under74c1,284$950 inWon+$333.7341954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Under75c1,069$800 inWon+$269.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under74c930.2$688 inWon+$241.855158.8%30 W · 21 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under74c805.18$599 inWon+$206.542560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Over3c754.95$24 inLost-$24.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over27c421.82$114 inLost-$113.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over7c396.5$28 inLost-$27.6212350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Over7c389.4$27 inLost-$26.75977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+51.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over28c344.02$96 inLost-$96.1123345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over22c224.09$49 inLost-$49.35623.2%13 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under78c164$127 inWon+$36.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over14c135.99$19 inLost-$19.0431738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under74c121.62$90 inWon+$31.624100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7e9…99e6backed Over19c105.26$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over29c86.28$25 inLost-$24.834940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under79c80.35$63 inWon+$16.871275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under78c65.32$51 inWon+$14.3713839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Under78c64.1$50 inWon+$14.11369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under74c64$47 inWon+$16.641471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over23c63$14 inLost-$14.369056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over35c62.89$22 inLost-$22.0116340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over23c62.09$14 inLost-$14.2819042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under74c40$30 inWon+$10.42842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over26c40$10 inLost-$10.46936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x862f…200bbacked Under78c38.46$30 inWon+$8.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under74c33$24 inWon+$8.581782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under76c32.97$25 inWon+$7.9865254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under75c30.75$23 inWon+$7.692190.5%19 W · 2 L+8.0wins+0.38per pick52cpaid+89.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under79c29.95$24 inWon+$6.291435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under80c29.95$24 inWon+$6.121637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8084…abe8backed Under78c28.21$22 inWon+$6.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under79c20$16 inWon+$4.26155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.