Serie A · resolved market
Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9194d1b747a5896b876919d40cfc2b9447d7e5da4fcc010a5d20ff99b15a7b99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Yes | 68c | 7,203$4,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,898 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 5,422$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.91 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 52c | 2,325$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 51c | 1,800$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 1,435$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.97 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 48c | 1,201$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.39 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 48c | 1,001$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.62 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 623.93$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.21 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 50c | 251$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 30c | 203.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.14 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 50c | 201.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 27c | 174.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 31c | 161.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d77…9b9dbacked No | 52c | 160.56$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 80c | 147.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 95 | 76.8%73 W · 22 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 53c | 111$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 103.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 52c | 98.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 48c | 89.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 67c | 79.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 77.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 26c | 74.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 53c | 74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked No | 17c | 72.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 73c | 70.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…a6c2backed Yes | 65c | 69.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 72c | 64.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 54c | 54.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 49c | 46.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 47c | 45.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed No | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -58%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 50c | 39.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 33.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 48c | 31.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 48c | 30.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +8.0wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb99b…b581backed Yes | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: Venezia FC (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: Venezia FC (-2.5)US Lecce won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 0.5Over won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Over won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 5.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: US Lecce 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: US Lecce O/U 2.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: Venezia FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: Venezia FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: Venezia FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: Venezia FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.