TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,277
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,351

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,277 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c319.79$140 inWon+$179.612,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over65c226.51$147 inLost-$147.233571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45bb…4927backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Under34c153$52 inWon+$100.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over66c129.62$86 inLost-$85.5518951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c95.55$47 inWon+$48.751,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb111…393ebacked Over51c93.63$48 inLost-$47.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Under69c91.3$63 inWon+$28.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under33c57$19 inWon+$38.191838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under33c52$17 inWon+$34.8465254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over67c52$35 inLost-$34.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-75.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbce1…9d27backed Over46c50$23 inLost-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over67c44.03$30 inLost-$29.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over45c42.82$19 inLost-$19.2718055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over59c30.91$18 inLost-$18.244940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under41c30.91$13 inWon+$18.2431051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under78c25$20 inWon+$5.54553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under71c14.21$10 inWon+$4.128548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.