TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: Venezia FC O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,395 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over78c432.39$337 inLost-$337.230828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under25c275.72$68 inWon+$207.575623.2%13 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under20c200$39 inWon+$1618962.9%56 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Over50c200$100 inLost-$100540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under27c153.99$42 inWon+$112.412250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Under20c107$21 inWon+$85.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+196.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under22c66$14 inWon+$51.742190.5%19 W · 2 L+8.0wins+0.38per pick52cpaid+89.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8d41…6a2ebacked Over28c62.38$18 inLost-$17.55757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over80c55.62$44 inLost-$44.4965254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over28c46.3$13 inLost-$12.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over71c35.59$25 inLost-$25.242,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over77c24.78$19 inLost-$19.0827453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe201…b90bbacked Over74c14.95$11 inLost-$11.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.